Introduction – same idiots, new cycle
Here we go again. Another halving behind us, another wave of “chart prophets” swearing that Q4 will be legendary. And you – yes, you – are already planning your victory speech and your Lambo spec sheet.
Let me ruin the suspense: you won’t. You’re not a market wizard, you’re just the next bagholder in line.
The Holy 4-Year Cycle – Religion for Degenerates
The so-called crypto 4-year cycle has become scripture. Every halving is treated like a high holy day. Supply tightens, narratives inflate, and suddenly Twitter looks like a revival tent.
Yes, the pattern showed up in 2013, 2017, and 2021. It “worked” then because the market was small, chaotic, and retail-driven; thin liquidity and loud stories moved price.
Now the institutions are in the room, and they don’t pray to your cycle — they arbitrage it.
Believing in the cycle isn’t investing; it’s worship. If your plan is built on a meme calendar, you’re not an investor — you’re the choirboy singing hymns to a candlestick chart.
This Time is Different™ – Institutions Don’t Care About You
Here’s what most retail speculators won’t admit: institutions don’t give a damn about your precious 4-year cycle.
- ETFs mean BlackRock, Fidelity, and friends are driving the bus now. They don’t schedule pumps for your convenience.
- Whales thrive on predictability – which is why they’ll wreck it the moment you start relying on it.
- Predictable cycles end the moment the crowd sees them as inevitable.
The only guaranteed cycle left? Whales win, retail loses, and you explain to your friends why your “genius crypto strategy” ended in ramen noodles.
Altseason – The Veteran’s Buffet
Ah yes, altseason. The crypto carnival where every garbage coin supposedly goes x100 and you convince yourself you’re the next Satoshi.
Reality check: altseason isn’t for you. It’s for the veterans. The old sharks who’ve been bagholding dead projects since 2018. They wait silently for fresh meat – like you – to buy their garbage. Then they dump, thank you politely, and move on.
Yes, a few alts will pump insanely. Yes, you’ll probably miss them and buy the wrong one instead. That’s tradition.
The Mental Game – You Are Your Own Worst Enemy
Forget the calendar. The real crypto cycle is always the same four stages:
- Greed: “This is it, I’ll be rich.”
- FOMO: “I can’t miss out, buy now.”
- Denial: “Relax, it’s just a dip.”
- Despair: “Why didn’t I sell?”
That’s the actual halving cycle – your psychology halving your portfolio over and over.
And the worst part? You know it, but you’ll still repeat it. Because you’d rather chase hopium than face the boring truth about patience and discipline.
Despite Everything – We Stay
Here’s the twisted truth: even knowing all this, we’re still here. Because crypto is the casino nobody wants to leave.
We’ll believe in the cycle. We’ll believe in altseason. We’ll believe right up until the last margin call.
Veterans know it. They’ve been through this rodeo for a decade. They sit on dusty old bags, waiting for fresh meat to arrive. And fresh meat always comes. That’s you.
And yes – crypto can make you rich fast. That’s why it’s intoxicating. But very few walk away with pockets full. The rest walk away with excuses, trauma, and an empty wallet.
Bloody Truth
Will the crypto 4-year cycle repeat? Maybe. Maybe not.
Will 2025 bring cosmic gains? Possibly – just not for you.
Will altseason finally come? Sure – but mostly for the veterans unloading, not for you chasing.
The market doesn’t ruin you. You ruin yourself – with greed, blind faith, and the inability to walk away with cash.
And yet, we’ll all keep playing. Because deep down, we’d rather be wrecked gamblers in crypto than boring investors in index funds.
Keep reading, keep growing. BloodyFinance.